Sagan Tosu 1-0 Ehime FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 11 Jun 2025

📅11/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagan Tosu
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ehime FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
400 Passes 394
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.05.2025 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 2-2 HT 2-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagan Tosu
1-0
AWAY Ehime FC
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sagan Tosu vs Ehime FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagan Tosu squeezed past Ehime FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sagan Tosu found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sagan Tosu had 64% of the ball to Ehime FC's 36%, shots finished 15-3.

What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Ehime FC?

Sagan Tosu 1-0 Ehime FC in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Ehime FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagan Tosu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 40%, draw 27%, Ehime FC 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagan Tosu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sagan Tosu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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