Lone Star II 2-3 Lehigh Valley United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.38
No
38%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.0pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lone Star II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lehigh Valley United EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -46%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Lone Star II vs Lehigh Valley United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lehigh Valley United edged past Lone Star II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lone Star II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Lone Star II vs Lehigh Valley United?

Lone Star II 2-3 Lehigh Valley United in the USA - USL League 2 on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lone Star II vs Lehigh Valley United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lone Star II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lone Star II 41%, draw 25%, Lehigh Valley United 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lone Star II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lone Star II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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