Tampa Bay United 1-3 Pinellas County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 11 Jul 2024

Tampa Bay United
1-3
Pinellas County
📅11/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2024

Tampa Bay United vs Pinellas County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.89
Over 2.5
50%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.5
No
59%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-15.5pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.2pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
31%
+18.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
69%
-18.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
62%
-21.5pp
59%
BTTS No
38%
+21.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tampa Bay United v Pinellas County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampa Bay United EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Pinellas County EU Bookmakers 20%
-75% / -75% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.75
-100% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 9
14 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tampa Bay United vs Pinellas County Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampa Bay United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pinellas County
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
22.05.2024 Tampa Bay United Tampa Bay United 4-2 HT 3-0 Pinellas County USL2
POST-MATCH Tampa Bay United vs Pinellas County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pinellas County beat Tampa Bay United 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Tampa Bay United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay United vs Pinellas County?

Tampa Bay United 1-3 Pinellas County in the USA - USL League 2 on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampa Bay United vs Pinellas County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay United 48%, draw 26%, Pinellas County 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tampa Bay United) ✗ BTTS No
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