Union Macomb 3-1 Flint City Bucks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.4
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
59%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
27%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
15%
+9.3pp
16%
Draw
17%
-0.7pp
59%
Away Win
68%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Macomb EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint City Bucks EU Bookmakers 72%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.63
+69% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +64%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
212 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Macomb
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Flint City Bucks
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.05.2024 Flint City Bucks Flint City Bucks 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Macomb USL2
POST-MATCH Union Macomb vs Flint City Bucks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Macomb saw off Flint City Bucks 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Flint City Bucks at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Union Macomb vs Flint City Bucks?

Union Macomb 3-1 Flint City Bucks in the USA - USL League 2 on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Macomb vs Flint City Bucks?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flint City Bucks win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Union Macomb 25%, draw 16%, Flint City Bucks 59%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Flint City Bucks), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flint City Bucks) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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