Seacoast United Phantoms 4-1 Pathfinder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.59
Over 2.5
68%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
81%
-12.2pp
20%
Draw
11%
+9.5pp
11%
Away Win
8%
+2.6pp
32%
Under 2.5
24%
+7.9pp
68%
Over 2.5
76%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seacoast United Phantoms EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Pathfinder EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
2.69/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/3.16
-6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
447 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seacoast United Phantoms
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Pathfinder
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
22.06.2024 Pathfinder Pathfinder 0-4 HT 0-3 Seacoast United Phantoms Seacoast United Phantoms USL2
10.06.2023 Seacoast United Phantoms Seacoast United Phantoms 2-4 HT 1-4 Pathfinder Pathfinder USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seacoast United Phantoms
4-1
AWAY Pathfinder
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 9
14 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Seacoast United Phantoms vs Pathfinder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seacoast United Phantoms swept aside Pathfinder 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Seacoast United Phantoms as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%) came in.

On the day, Seacoast United Phantoms had 58% of the ball to Pathfinder's 42%, shots finished 23-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Seacoast United Phantoms and 2.00 for Pathfinder.

What was the final score of Seacoast United Phantoms vs Pathfinder?

Seacoast United Phantoms 4-1 Pathfinder in the USA - USL League 2 on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seacoast United Phantoms vs Pathfinder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seacoast United Phantoms win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Seacoast United Phantoms 69%, draw 20%, Pathfinder 11%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seacoast United Phantoms), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Seacoast United Phantoms) ✓ Over 2.5
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