11/07/2024
·
02:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Toledo Villa vs Buffalo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
13%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
28%
Draw
28%
35%
Away Win
33%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toledo Villa v Buffalo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Toledo Villa
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Buffalo
EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% /
-6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-41%
/
+51%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
343 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
309 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Toledo Villa vs Buffalo Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Toledo Villa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Buffalo
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
30.05.2024
Toledo Villa
1-0
HT 0-0
Buffalo
USL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Buffalo
USL2
POST-MATCH
Toledo Villa vs Buffalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Toledo Villa beat Buffalo 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Toledo Villa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Toledo Villa vs Buffalo?
Toledo Villa 3-1 Buffalo in the USA - USL League 2 on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toledo Villa vs Buffalo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toledo Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Toledo Villa 37%, draw 28%, Buffalo 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toledo Villa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Toledo Villa)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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USL2
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11 Jul 2024