Yanbian Longding 3-1 Suzhou Dongwu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.62
2-3 Goals
35%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.97
6+ Goals
10%
19.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 35% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 19%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.37/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.03
+43% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
17.1 Crosses 16.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.83 xG 1.04
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
351 Passes 264
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2025 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 1-1 HT 1-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
01.06.2025 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-1 HT 1-1 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
07.07.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 0-5 HT 0-1 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
10.03.2024 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 1-1 HT 1-1 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
29.07.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-2 HT 2-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
3-1
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
1.36 xG 0.05
18 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
311 Passes 101
23 Box Touches 6
22 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Suzhou Dongwu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding beat Suzhou Dongwu 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yanbian Longding as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.36 to 0.05.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Yanbian Longding and 2.00 for Suzhou Dongwu.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Yanbian Longding 3-1 Suzhou Dongwu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 56%, draw 24%, Suzhou Dongwu 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yanbian Longding) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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