Suzhou Dongwu 1-1 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.02
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.68
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.91/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.31
-17% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
22.1 Crosses 14.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Yanbian Longding
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.25 xG 0.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
244 Passes 324
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.06.2025 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-1 HT 1-1 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
07.07.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 0-5 HT 0-1 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
10.03.2024 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 1-1 HT 1-1 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
29.07.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-2 HT 2-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
1-1
AWAY Yanbian Longding
0.44 xG 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
327 Passes 431
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suzhou Dongwu and Yanbian Longding couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Suzhou Dongwu had 44% of the ball to Yanbian Longding's 56%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.44 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Suzhou Dongwu and 1.25 for Yanbian Longding.

What was the final score of Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding?

Suzhou Dongwu 1-1 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Suzhou Dongwu 32%, draw 32%, Yanbian Longding 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yanbian Longding), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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