Qingdao Red Lions 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.66
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.98
6+ Goals
8%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 32% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 43%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.74/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.70
-82% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
20.9 Crosses 15.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.00 xG 1.69
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
207 Passes 330
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.05.2025 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
31.08.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 3-2 HT 3-0 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
14.04.2024 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 2-3 HT 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
1-1
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
1.18 xG 1.33
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
93 Passes 239
50% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qingdao Red Lions vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Red Lions and Guangxi Baoyun shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Qingdao Red Lions had 36% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 64%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.18 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Qingdao Red Lions and 2.33 for Guangxi Baoyun.

What was the final score of Qingdao Red Lions vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Qingdao Red Lions 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Red Lions vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Red Lions 30%, draw 30%, Guangxi Baoyun 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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