Qingdao Red Lions 2-3 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.13
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
5.97
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 48%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.18/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.80
-51% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
28.0 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
2-3
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
0.43 xG 1.44
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 6
155 Passes 365
59% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Qingdao Red Lions vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Baoyun squeezed past Qingdao Red Lions 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Guangxi Baoyun made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Qingdao Red Lions had 37% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 63%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.43 to 1.44.

What was the final score of Qingdao Red Lions vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Qingdao Red Lions 2-3 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Red Lions vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Red Lions 30%, draw 31%, Guangxi Baoyun 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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