Suzhou Dongwu 1-0 Shanghai Jiading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
41%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
13%
5.82
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.16 — our 41% vs market 39.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.0pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.09/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.13
-2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
274 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 67%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
16.9 Crosses 17.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 0.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
292 Passes 282
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 1-1 HT 1-1 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
20.05.2023 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 1-5 HT 0-2 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
08.08.2022 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 0-0 HT 0-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
24.07.2022 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 3-2 HT 1-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
1-0
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
0.70 xG 0.69
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
186 Passes 336
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suzhou Dongwu vs Shanghai Jiading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suzhou Dongwu squeezed past Shanghai Jiading 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 31% — and on the day Suzhou Dongwu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Suzhou Dongwu had 39% of the ball to Shanghai Jiading's 61%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.70 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Suzhou Dongwu had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Suzhou Dongwu and 1.00 for Shanghai Jiading.

What was the final score of Suzhou Dongwu vs Shanghai Jiading?

Suzhou Dongwu 1-0 Shanghai Jiading in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suzhou Dongwu vs Shanghai Jiading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suzhou Dongwu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Suzhou Dongwu 40%, draw 28%, Shanghai Jiading 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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