Foshan Nanshi 0-0 Jiangxi Beidamen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
50%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.03
6+ Goals
7%
18.8
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.77 — our 50% vs market 49.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
55%
-10.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
0.91/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.15
+2% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 70%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
13.8 Crosses 13.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 0.90
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
368 Passes 248
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 1-2 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
10.05.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-0 HT 1-0 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
30.04.2023 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 2-2 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
15.09.2022 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 1-1 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
30.08.2022 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-2 HT 1-2 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
07.12.2021 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 4-0 HT 1-0 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Jiangxi Beidamen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi and Jiangxi Beidamen played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Foshan Nanshi at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.00 for Jiangxi Beidamen.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Foshan Nanshi 0-0 Jiangxi Beidamen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foshan Nanshi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 44%, draw 27%, Jiangxi Beidamen 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Foshan Nanshi), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Foshan Nanshi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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