Anderlecht 3-2 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Jul 2026

Anderlecht
3-2
NEC Nijmegen
📅11/07/2026 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Anderlecht vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.07
Over 2.5
40%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.73
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
9.53
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 29% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
44%
+15.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
56%
-15.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Anderlecht v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 38%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.72/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.86
+13% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +62%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Anderlecht 3-2 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
3-2
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs NEC Nijmegen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht squeezed past NEC Nijmegen 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Anderlecht found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs NEC Nijmegen?

Anderlecht 3-2 NEC Nijmegen in the Friendlies on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs NEC Nijmegen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 37%, draw 28%, NEC Nijmegen 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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