Fortuna Sittard 2-1 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 49%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.59/3.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.24
-56% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Genk
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
04.07.2025 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk HAZ
10.01.2019 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard
2-1
AWAY Genk
5 Total Shots 1
2 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 1
FAQ Fortuna Sittard vs Genk
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fortuna Sittard edged past Genk 2-1 in the Friendlies on 11 Jul 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 5-1.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Genk lead the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 1.00 for Genk.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Genk?

Fortuna Sittard 2-1 Genk in the Friendlies on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 34%, draw 23%, Genk 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genk) ✓ BTTS Yes
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