Concarneau 1-2 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.0pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 57%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+62% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient squeezed past Concarneau 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Lorient?

Concarneau 1-2 Lorient in the Friendlies on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 28%, draw 23%, Lorient 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✓ BTTS Yes
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