11/07/2026
·
12:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Concarneau vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
23%
Draw
23%
48%
Away Win
53%
50%
Under 2.5
42%
50%
Over 2.5
58%
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
49%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Concarneau v Lorient — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Concarneau
EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lorient
EU Bookmakers 57%
-40% /
-40%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+62%
/
-48%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
9
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
299 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
415 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Concarneau vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lorient squeezed past Concarneau 2-1 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Concarneau vs Lorient?
Concarneau 1-2 Lorient in the Friendlies on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Lorient?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 28%, draw 23%, Lorient 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Lorient)
✓ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
11 Jul 2026