Alajuelense 2-1 Perez Zeledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.27
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.18
Over 2.5
65%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.19
No
46%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
75%
-10.9pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.7pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+8.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
42%
-6.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
58%
+6.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+12.5pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Perez Zeledon EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +0%
2.28/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.25
+5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Perez Zeledon
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 0-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
21.02.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-2 HT 3-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
19.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
14.08.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-2 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
09.04.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-3 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
09.02.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-1 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
2-1
AWAY Perez Zeledon
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Perez Zeledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense nicked a narrow win over Perez Zeledon 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alajuelense had 65% of the ball to Perez Zeledon's 35%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Alajuelense and 0.83 for Perez Zeledon.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Perez Zeledon?

Alajuelense 2-1 Perez Zeledon in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Perez Zeledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 64%, draw 19%, Perez Zeledon 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
11 Aug 2024
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