Guanacasteca 1-3 CS Cartagines — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.60/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.40
+13% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CS Cartagines
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.02.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-0 HT 1-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
17.01.2024 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-2 HT 1-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
24.09.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-2 HT 1-2 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
28.07.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
19.03.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 4-1 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
22.01.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-2 HT 0-2 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs CS Cartagines
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Cartagines saw off Guanacasteca 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; CS Cartagines found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Cartagines led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guanacasteca and 1.67 for CS Cartagines.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs CS Cartagines?

Guanacasteca 1-3 CS Cartagines in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs CS Cartagines?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guanacasteca win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 38%, draw 30%, CS Cartagines 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guanacasteca), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guanacasteca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
11 Aug 2024
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