Puskas FC 3-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.83/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/2.09
-8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -86% / -41%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
26.9 Crosses 23.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
02.05.2015 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
18.10.2014 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 0-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
3-1
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
2.66 xG 0.61
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
433 Passes 178
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
37 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC saw off Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Puskas FC as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Puskas FC had 68% of the ball to Nyiregyhaza Spartacus's 32%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.66 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Puskas FC and 1.00 for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Puskas FC 3-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus in the Hungary - NB I on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 53%, draw 22%, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC)
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