Oakland Roots 3-1 Loudoun United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.66
No
58%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 34% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.8pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.37/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.41
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
14.0 Crosses 17.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakland Roots
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Loudoun United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.83 xG 1.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
434 Passes 334
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.04.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 2-0 HT 1-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
17.04.2022 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 4-1 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oakland Roots
3-1
AWAY Loudoun United
1.57 xG 0.98
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
235 Passes 478
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 21
7 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oakland Roots vs Loudoun United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakland Roots beat Loudoun United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Oakland Roots made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oakland Roots had 36% of the ball to Loudoun United's 64%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.57 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Oakland Roots and 1.50 for Loudoun United.

What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs Loudoun United?

Oakland Roots 3-1 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs Loudoun United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 35%, draw 27%, Loudoun United 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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