New York Red Bulls vs Real Salt Lake Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York Red Bulls v Real Salt Lake — Team-Based Signals
New York Red Bulls vs Real Salt Lake Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
1-1
HT 0-1
New York Red Bulls
ABD
4-0
HT 0-0
Real Salt Lake
ABD
1-0
HT 1-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Real Salt Lake
ABD
2-1
HT 0-1
New York Red Bulls
ABD
New York Red Bulls 2-1 Real Salt Lake — Actual Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls edged past Real Salt Lake 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had New York Red Bulls as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, New York Red Bulls had 55% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 45%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 3.76 to 1.17 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold New York Red Bulls's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Salt Lake led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.17 for Real Salt Lake.
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Real Salt Lake?
New York Red Bulls 2-1 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Real Salt Lake?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 44%, draw 24%, Real Salt Lake 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.