Orlando City 4-1 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 11 Aug 2025

📅11/08/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.4
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.58
6+ Goals
14%
5.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.6
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
15%
5.13
X/2
16%
7.65
X/X
8%
6.18
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.1
2/2
11%
4.79
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.1 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.0pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +20%
1.63/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.44
-6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 84%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.1 Crosses 11.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.41 xG 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 Passes 433
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.05.2025 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-3 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
16.05.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 0-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
03.03.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 5-0 HT 3-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
25.09.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
03.08.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-1 HT 1-1 Orlando City Orlando City CONLK
21.05.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-3 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
4-1
AWAY Inter Miami
2.30 xG 0.61
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
392 Passes 426
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City swept aside Inter Miami 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Orlando City had 47% of the ball to Inter Miami's 53%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.30 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orlando City and 1.67 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Inter Miami?

Orlando City 4-1 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 45%, draw 22%, Inter Miami 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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