Minnesota United 1-2 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 11 Aug 2025

📅11/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.08
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.64
6+ Goals
15%
6.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.9
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.8
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.29
X/2
7%
11.25
X/X
8%
6.8
2/1
8%
19.15
2/2
10%
8.16
2/X
5%
16.45
Value flag · X/1 at 4.29 — our 25% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.5pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.1pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.70/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.88
-7% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.1 Crosses 15.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.55 xG 1.59
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
282 Passes 368
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
26.05.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 3-3 HT 1-3 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
31.08.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-0 HT 3-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
19.03.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-2 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
07.08.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 4-3 HT 3-2 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
12.05.2022 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-1 HT 1-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
1-2
AWAY Colorado Rapids
2.19 xG 1.82
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 4
411 Passes 259
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
47 Box Touches 18
33 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids squeezed past Minnesota United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Minnesota United carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Minnesota United had 60% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 40%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 2.19 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Minnesota United and 1.50 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Colorado Rapids?

Minnesota United 1-2 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 59%, draw 20%, Colorado Rapids 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Minnesota United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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