FC Cincinnati 0-1 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 11 Aug 2025

📅11/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.77
6+ Goals
13%
7.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.31
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
9%
4.69
X/2
11%
8.87
X/X
9%
5.76
2/1
7%
20.6
2/2
11%
6.18
2/X
10%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.75/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.54
-6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
14.0 Crosses 14.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Charlotte
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.75 xG 1.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
349 Passes 365
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Charlotte Charlotte 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
14.07.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-3 HT 1-2 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
31.03.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
24.09.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
09.07.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
04.09.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
0-1
AWAY Charlotte
1.70 xG 0.56
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
377 Passes 366
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
34 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte edged past FC Cincinnati 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Cincinnati at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 50% of the ball to Charlotte's 50%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.70 to 0.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured FC Cincinnati.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.33 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte?

FC Cincinnati 0-1 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 46%, draw 26%, Charlotte 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
11 Aug 2025
01:00 Minnesota United vs Colorado Rapids Analysis →
01:00 New York Red Bulls vs Real Salt Lake Analysis →
03:00 Orlando City vs Inter Miami Analysis →
05:00 Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders Analysis →