Colorado Rapids 3-3 Minnesota United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.43
Over 2.5
47%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
5.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
22%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.04
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.11 — our 29% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.38
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
15%
4.54
X/2
10%
8.19
X/X
13%
6.03
2/1
8%
20.55
2/2
13%
5.33
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.2pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.45/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.60
-27% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.5 Crosses 15.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Minnesota United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.71 xG 1.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
334 Passes 344
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-0 HT 3-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
19.03.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-2 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
07.08.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 4-3 HT 3-2 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
12.05.2022 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-1 HT 1-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABDK
17.04.2022 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-1 HT 1-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
10.10.2021 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-3 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
3-3
AWAY Minnesota United
3.56 xG 1.90
75% Ball Possession 25%
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 0
482 Passes 115
85% Pass Accuracy 56%
42 Box Touches 6
46 Crosses 0
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Rapids at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 75% of the ball to Minnesota United's 25%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 3.56 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Colorado Rapids and 2.33 for Minnesota United.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United?

Colorado Rapids 3-3 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 44%, draw 27%, Minnesota United 30%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Rapids) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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