Minnesota United 3-0 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Sep 2024

Minnesota United
3-0 HT 1-0
Colorado Rapids
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Minnesota United vs Colorado Rapids Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.77
2-3 Goals
35%
2.16
4-5 Goals
31%
2.49
6+ Goals
14%
5.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.01
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
12%
4.41
X/2
12%
10.4
X/X
12%
6.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
18.8
2/2
10%
6.46
2/X
5%
14.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.8 — our 11% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+6.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-6.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.4pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Minnesota United v Colorado Rapids — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.72/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.85
-2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 80%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
20.7 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Minnesota United vs Colorado Rapids Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.67 xG 1.87
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
298 Passes 363
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.05.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 3-3 HT 1-3 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
31.08.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-0 HT 3-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
19.03.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-2 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
07.08.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 4-3 HT 3-2 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
12.05.2022 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-1 HT 1-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABDK
17.04.2022 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-1 HT 1-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD

Minnesota United 3-0 Colorado Rapids — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
3-0
AWAY Colorado Rapids
1.21 xG 0.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
300 Passes 430
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United ran out comfortable winners over Colorado Rapids 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Minnesota United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Minnesota United had 43% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 57%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.21 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Minnesota United and 1.67 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Colorado Rapids?

Minnesota United 3-0 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 51%, draw 22%, Colorado Rapids 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minnesota United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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