Aurora 0-2 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 11 Aug 2025

📅11/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
63%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.76/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.81
+15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 71%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
24.1 Crosses 14.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Guabira
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.21 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
218 Passes 235
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.04.2025 Guabira Guabira 5-2 HT 2-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
30.09.2024 Aurora Aurora 2-1 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
19.05.2024 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
10.10.2023 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
23.04.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
12.09.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
0-2
AWAY Guabira
2.09 xG 1.27
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
379 Passes 165
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
37 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira saw off Aurora 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aurora at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aurora had 66% of the ball to Guabira's 34%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 2.09 to 1.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured Aurora.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aurora and 1.50 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Guabira?

Aurora 0-2 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Aurora 61%, draw 23%, Guabira 16%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aurora) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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