Septemvri Sofia 2-3 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 11 Aug 2025

📅11/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 32%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.02/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.93
+91% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
0W-0D-3L
AWAY PFC Beroe
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-0 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
22.07.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
12.05.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-0 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
2-3
AWAY PFC Beroe
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe edged past Septemvri Sofia 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day PFC Beroe made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 54% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 46%, shots finished 11-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 1.67 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

Septemvri Sofia 2-3 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Septemvri Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 35%, draw 31%, PFC Beroe 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Septemvri Sofia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Septemvri Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
11 Aug 2025
21:15 Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Analysis →