Arda Kardzhali 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 11 Aug 2025

📅11/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.7pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.65/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.76
+46% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +47%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
360 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
23.11.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 4-2 HT 3-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
20.07.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
18.02.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
18.08.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
0-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
65% Ball Possession 35%
5 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali and Lokomotiv Plovdiv fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Arda Kardzhali at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 65% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 35%, shots finished 5-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 1.50 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Arda Kardzhali 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 41%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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