PFC Beroe 2-0 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 22%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.92/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.71
-41% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
12.05.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-0 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
2-0
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe got the better of Septemvri Sofia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PFC Beroe as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 53% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 47%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for PFC Beroe and 0.00 for Septemvri Sofia.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia?

PFC Beroe 2-0 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a PFC Beroe win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 47%, draw 25%, Septemvri Sofia 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PFC Beroe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PFC Beroe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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