CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-4 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.0pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 40%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.77/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.04
-29% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.07.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
15.03.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-1 HT 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
22.09.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 0-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
20.05.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-1 HT 0-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
30.04.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
0-4
AWAY Cherno More Varna
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna swept aside CSKA 1948 Sofia 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Cherno More Varna made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 67% of the ball to Cherno More Varna's 33%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 0.80 for Cherno More Varna.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-4 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 33%, draw 30%, Cherno More Varna 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cherno More Varna), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
24 Nov 2024
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