CSKA Sofia 2-2 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 46%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.33
-100% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.9 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
21.07.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
11.05.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 HT 1-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
10.12.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
13.08.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 HT 2-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
20.05.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-2 HT 1-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
30.04.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
2-2
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia and Ludogorets Razgrad couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ludogorets Razgrad at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 54% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 46%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CSKA Sofia and 1.83 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

CSKA Sofia 2-2 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 30%, draw 27%, Ludogorets Razgrad 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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