Vancouver FC 2-3 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 11 Aug 2025

📅11/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.74
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 28% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+8.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
0.68/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.91
-49% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.9 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Pacific FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.09 xG 1.47
49% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
297 Passes 326
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2025 Pacific FC Pacific FC 4-4 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
27.04.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
15.09.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
12.08.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
28.06.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
26.05.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
2-3
AWAY Pacific FC
1.53 xG 2.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 1
362 Passes 330
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pacific FC squeezed past Vancouver FC 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pacific FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vancouver FC had 53% of the ball to Pacific FC's 47%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.53 to 2.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vancouver FC and 1.67 for Pacific FC.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC?

Vancouver FC 2-3 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pacific FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 33%, draw 26%, Pacific FC 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pacific FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pacific FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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