Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos Laguna v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
2-0
HT 2-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
Santos Laguna 1-0 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Santos Laguna squeezed past Guadalajara 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Guadalajara at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Santos Laguna had 33% of the ball to Guadalajara's 67%, shots finished 3-17, expected goals 0.95 to 1.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured Guadalajara.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santos Laguna and 1.33 for Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara?
Santos Laguna 1-0 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 30%, draw 22%, Guadalajara 49%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.