Guadalajara vs Santos Laguna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Santos Laguna — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Santos Laguna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
2-0
HT 2-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
Guadalajara 1-0 Santos Laguna — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara nicked a narrow win over Santos Laguna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Guadalajara had 60% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 40%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.88 to 0.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Guadalajara's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guadalajara and 0.67 for Santos Laguna.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Santos Laguna?
Guadalajara 1-0 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Santos Laguna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 55%, draw 26%, Santos Laguna 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.