Atletico San Luis 1-3 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
28%
+10.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
45%
-11.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.13/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.95
+12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +32%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
231 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 84%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
15.9 Crosses 19.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.63 xG 1.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
371 Passes 456
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 33
7 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
29.11.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-0 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
14.09.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
25.01.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-2 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
05.11.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-2 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
29.01.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
1-3
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.81 xG 1.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
390 Passes 416
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL got the better of Atletico San Luis 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Tigres UANL found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 49% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 51%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.81 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico San Luis and 0.83 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Tigres UANL?

Atletico San Luis 1-3 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico San Luis win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 38%, draw 28%, Tigres UANL 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico San Luis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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