Pumas UNAM vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pumas UNAM v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
Pumas UNAM vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
3-1
HT 2-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Necaxa
MEK
Pumas UNAM 1-1 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM and Necaxa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Pumas UNAM at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Pumas UNAM had 66% of the ball to Necaxa's 34%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.30 to 0.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pumas UNAM and 1.50 for Necaxa.
What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Necaxa?
Pumas UNAM 1-1 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Necaxa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 51%, draw 24%, Necaxa 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pumas UNAM), BTTS No went the other way.