Hume City vs South Melbourne Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hume City v South Melbourne — Team-Based Signals
Hume City vs South Melbourne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Hume City
AVNPL
0-0
HT 0-0
South Melbourne
AVNPL
1-3
HT 0-3
South Melbourne
AVNPL
Hume City 2-3 South Melbourne — Actual Match Statistics
South Melbourne edged past Hume City 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; South Melbourne found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hume City had 59% of the ball to South Melbourne's 41%, shots finished 23-19, expected goals 1.95 to 1.93.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Melbourne led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hume City and 1.33 for South Melbourne.
What was the final score of Hume City vs South Melbourne?
Hume City 2-3 South Melbourne in the Australia - FFA Cup on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hume City vs South Melbourne?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hume City 38%, draw 26%, South Melbourne 36%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.