Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Brazil - Serie B, 11 Sep 2026

📅11/09/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
80%
1.25
Draw
13%
5.28
Away
7%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Recife
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ponte Preta
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.69 xG 1.18
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
388 Passes 200
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2026 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-3 HT 1-2 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
17.11.2024 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-4 HT 0-2 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
28.07.2024 Sport Recife Sport Recife 3-1 HT 1-1 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
10.10.2023 Sport Recife Sport Recife 3-3 HT 1-3 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
11.06.2023 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-1 HT 1-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
08.09.2022 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
PREVIEW Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Sport Recife start as strong favourites on our numbers; Ponte Preta's job is to make the game ugly early.

Both teams have scored in 4 of Sport Recife's last 5 home league games, and Ponte Preta's away form is a worry — beaten in 5 of the last 5 in the league.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Recife have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for Sport Recife against 1.17 for Ponte Preta.

Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta Kick-off Time

Sport Recife play Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 11/09/2026, kick-off 03:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta is a Sport Recife win at about 80% probability, priced 1.25 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Sport Recife 80%, draw 13%, Ponte Preta 7%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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