Ashton United 1-4 Whitby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +6%
1.94/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.71
+14% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashton United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Whitby Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Ashton United Ashton United 5-0 HT 2-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
14.09.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
29.03.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 4-1 HT 2-1 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
26.08.2023 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
21.02.2023 Whitby Town Whitby Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
04.10.2022 Ashton United Ashton United 0-1 HT 0-1 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashton United
1-4
AWAY Whitby Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Whitby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Whitby Town swept aside Ashton United 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ashton United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ashton United had 49% of the ball to Whitby Town's 51%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ashton United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ashton United and 1.00 for Whitby Town.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Whitby Town?

Ashton United 1-4 Whitby Town in the England - Non League Premier on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Whitby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 46%, draw 22%, Whitby Town 31%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ashton United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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