Stourbridge 1-1 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.9
Over 2.5
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-6.8pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.1pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +23%
1.36/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.42
-15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
247 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stourbridge
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Leiston
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 Leiston Leiston 0-3 HT 0-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
09.03.2024 Leiston Leiston 0-1 HT 0-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
17.02.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-3 HT 1-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-1 HT 0-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
22.10.2022 Leiston Leiston 1-1 HT 0-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
26.02.2022 Stourbridge Stourbridge 2-0 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stourbridge vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge and Leiston couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stourbridge had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stourbridge and 0.83 for Leiston.

What was the final score of Stourbridge vs Leiston?

Stourbridge 1-1 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 36%, draw 32%, Leiston 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stourbridge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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