Leiston 0-3 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.22/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.26
-19% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stourbridge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Leiston Leiston 0-1 HT 0-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
17.02.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-3 HT 1-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-1 HT 0-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
22.10.2022 Leiston Leiston 1-1 HT 0-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
26.02.2022 Stourbridge Stourbridge 2-0 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
06.11.2021 Leiston Leiston 2-1 HT 0-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leiston
0-3
AWAY Stourbridge
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge ran out comfortable winners over Leiston 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Stourbridge found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Leiston had 58% of the ball to Stourbridge's 42%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leiston and 1.17 for Stourbridge.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Stourbridge?

Leiston 0-3 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leiston 38%, draw 28%, Stourbridge 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Leiston), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leiston) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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