Freiburg II 1-3 Hessen Kassel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.39
No
34%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.3pp
66%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.1pp
34%
BTTS No
32%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hessen Kassel EU Bookmakers 39%
+12% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -6%
2.16/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.70
+36% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Hessen Kassel
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-1 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
03.08.2024 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 1-3 HT 0-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
22.05.2021 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 0-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
02.02.2021 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-1 HT 1-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
15.03.2015 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-2 HT 0-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Hessen Kassel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hessen Kassel saw off Freiburg II 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Freiburg II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Freiburg II had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Freiburg II and 1.00 for Hessen Kassel.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Hessen Kassel?

Freiburg II 1-3 Hessen Kassel in the Germany - Regional League on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Hessen Kassel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 43%, draw 27%, Hessen Kassel 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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