Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-1 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
54%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.7pp
54%
Away Win
50%
+3.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 55%
+10% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.27/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.97
-1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +26%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Illertissen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 Illertissen Illertissen 1-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
03.05.2024 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
14.10.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 2-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
05.11.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-0 HT 2-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
15.07.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 1-2 HT 1-2 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
30.10.2021 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-1 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Aschaffenburg and Illertissen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Illertissen at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Illertissen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Viktoria Aschaffenburg and 0.83 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Illertissen?

Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-1 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Aschaffenburg 27%, draw 20%, Illertissen 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Illertissen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Illertissen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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