Illertissen 1-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illertissen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
2.22/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.69
+4% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illertissen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2024 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
14.10.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 2-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
05.11.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-0 HT 2-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
15.07.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 1-2 HT 1-2 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
30.10.2021 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-1 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
16.07.2021 Illertissen Illertissen 1-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Illertissen vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen squeezed past Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Illertissen as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Illertissen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Illertissen and 1.00 for Viktoria Aschaffenburg.

What was the final score of Illertissen vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Illertissen 1-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illertissen vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Illertissen 53%, draw 26%, Viktoria Aschaffenburg 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Illertissen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Illertissen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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