Türkgücü München 1-1 Bayern München II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
57%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.63
Over 2.5
49%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.66
No
58%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.6pp
57%
Away Win
68%
-10.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
34%
+16.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
66%
-16.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.9pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkgücü München EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 72%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
0.23/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.74/1.35
-77% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -33%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
247 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkgücü München
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Bayern München II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.25 xG 1.35
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
273 Passes 362
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 2-0 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
28.07.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 1-4 HT 1-1 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
15.03.2023 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 0-3 HT 0-2 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
31.07.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 3-2 HT 1-1 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Türkgücü München vs Bayern München II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Türkgücü München and Bayern München II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Bayern München II carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Türkgücü München and 1.75 for Bayern München II.

What was the final score of Türkgücü München vs Bayern München II?

Türkgücü München 1-1 Bayern München II in the Germany - Regional League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkgücü München vs Bayern München II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Türkgücü München 20%, draw 23%, Bayern München II 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayern München II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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