Schweinfurt 3-2 Vilzing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilzing EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +1%
2.43/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.08
+14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schweinfurt
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Vilzing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 0-1 HT 0-1 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
11.08.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 0-5 HT 0-2 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
13.05.2023 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Vilzing Vilzing 1-2 HT 1-2 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schweinfurt vs Vilzing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schweinfurt edged past Vilzing 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Schweinfurt as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Schweinfurt had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Schweinfurt and 0.75 for Vilzing.

What was the final score of Schweinfurt vs Vilzing?

Schweinfurt 3-2 Vilzing in the Germany - Regional League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schweinfurt vs Vilzing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schweinfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Schweinfurt 55%, draw 22%, Vilzing 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schweinfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Schweinfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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