Greuther Fürth II 1-1 Würzburger Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
59%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.2pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.8pp
59%
Away Win
55%
+3.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Würzburger Kickers EU Bookmakers 60%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.41/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.88
-52% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses 31.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth II
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Würzburger Kickers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2024 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 3-1 HT 2-1 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
09.09.2023 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 2-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 3-0 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
18.10.2014 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-1 HT 0-0 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Würzburger Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II and Würzburger Kickers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Würzburger Kickers carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Würzburger Kickers led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Greuther Fürth II and 1.75 for Würzburger Kickers.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Würzburger Kickers?

Greuther Fürth II 1-1 Würzburger Kickers in the Germany - Regional League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Würzburger Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Würzburger Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 23%, draw 18%, Würzburger Kickers 59%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Würzburger Kickers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Würzburger Kickers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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