Buchbach 3-2 Aubstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.75
No
40%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.6pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -21%
1.66/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
+2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 23.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aubstadt
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 3-1 HT 2-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
25.03.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-2 HT 0-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
02.09.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 2-4 HT 2-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
16.04.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 4-1 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
07.08.2021 Buchbach Buchbach 1-1 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
24.10.2020 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Aubstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach squeezed past Aubstadt 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Buchbach found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aubstadt led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Buchbach and 2.17 for Aubstadt.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Aubstadt?

Buchbach 3-2 Aubstadt in the Germany - Regional League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Aubstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buchbach win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 37%, draw 27%, Aubstadt 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buchbach), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buchbach) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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