22/10/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Bayreuth vs Hankofen-Hailing Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
71%
19%
Draw
18%
13%
Away Win
12%
40%
Under 2.5
39%
60%
Over 2.5
61%
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
52%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayreuth v Hankofen-Hailing — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bayreuth
EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hankofen-Hailing
EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% /
+1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+14% /
+5%
2.43/0.82
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.06/2.63
+3%
/
+13%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+11%
/
-13%
60%
Ball Possession
40%
16
Total Shots
7
8
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
452 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
242 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.4
POST-MATCH
Bayreuth vs Hankofen-Hailing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bayreuth edged past Hankofen-Hailing 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayreuth as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Hankofen-Hailing?
Bayreuth 1-0 Hankofen-Hailing in the Germany - Regional League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Hankofen-Hailing?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 68%, draw 19%, Hankofen-Hailing 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayreuth), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bayreuth)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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ALMBÖL
More Germany - Regional League
22 Oct 2024