El Salvador vs Panama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Salvador v Panama — Team-Based Signals
El Salvador vs Panama Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
El Salvador
GK
2-1
HT 0-1
El Salvador
DKE
1-0
HT 1-0
Panama
DKE
1-3
HT 1-2
Panama
HAZ
1-1
HT 0-0
El Salvador
GK
El Salvador 0-1 Panama — Actual Match Statistics
Panama edged past El Salvador 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Panama as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, El Salvador had 43% of the ball to Panama's 57%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.29 to 1.09.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Panama led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for El Salvador and 1.60 for Panama.
What was the final score of El Salvador vs Panama?
El Salvador 0-1 Panama in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Salvador vs Panama?
Before kick-off our model rated an Panama win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split El Salvador 19%, draw 22%, Panama 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.