El Salvador vs Panama Prediction — Model Probabilities
El Salvador v Panama — Team-Based Signals
El Salvador vs Panama Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
El Salvador 0-1 Panama — Actual Match Statistics
Panama found just enough to beat El Salvador 1-0 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we said in the preview, our model had Panama as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, El Salvador had 43% of the ball to Panama's 57%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.29 to 1.09.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Panama led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for El Salvador and 1.60 for Panama.
El Salvador vs Panama Result & Final Score
El Salvador 0 - 1 Panama in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
El Salvador vs Panama Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Panama win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split El Salvador 16%, draw 26%, Panama 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.